Vitalik Buterin highlights Polymarket’s predictions about lower gas costs for Ethereum.
Vitalik Buterin notes predictions that Ethereum gas fees will be reduced after EIP-4844, with market speculation pointing to significant cost savings.
Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin revealed a Polymarket prediction on Predictions, a topic of intense discussion within the Ethereum community, estimate that transaction costs could decrease significantly, driving the price of a chunk of data (~125kB) below 0.001 ETH.
Ethereum’s currency data costs, calculated to be approximately 0.06 ETH when accounting for gas and data size, have been a significant bottleneck to network scalability and user adoption. According to Polymarket’s speculative markets, a barometer of community sentiment, a significant number of participants (46%) predict that gas prices will fall between 0.0001 and 0.001 ETH per month after EIP-4844 is implemented. Another 24% believe the settlement could be between 0.001 and 0.01 ETH.
Buterin’s comments remind us that while these market predictions are speculative, they provide insight into community expectations and can be utilized as a hedging tool against the potential consequences of the EIP-4844 upgrade. This proposal is a key part of Ethereum’s ongoing efforts. codeThis includes the much-anticipated transition to Ethereum 2.0.
The reduction in gas fees anticipated by EIP-4844 could significantly amplify the network’s attractiveness to developers, encouraging the proliferation of decentralized applications (dApps) and driving overall network activity. This also reflects the broader goals of the Ethereum upgrade path. This means maintaining its competitive edge as the leading blockchain for smart contracts even as alternatives offering lower transaction fees emerge.
Investors and the Ethereum community are closely watching the development and final outcome of EIP-4844. The gas fee reduction has been long sought and is expected to not only improve user experience, but also potentially have a positive impact on market sentiment surrounding ETH.
Despite the positive outlook, an upgrade of this scale comes with inherent risks and uncertainties. Nonetheless, the community’s response to Buterin’s emphasis on Polymarket’s predictions indicates prevailing optimism about the proposal’s ability to solve some of Ethereum’s most pressing challenges related to gas fees. With an upgrade imminent, all eyes will be on the real-world impact compared to speculative predictions.
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