Bitcoin

Bitcoin technical indicators predict BTC price cycle peak in summer 2025.

Bitcoin (BTC) is down 3% over the last 24 hours and down 8% over the past week. However, market analysts say such declines are not unusual for BTC in January. Therefore, the bull market could resume, and based on key technical indicators, the Bitcoin price could potentially peak in mid-July 2025.

BTC/USD daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Bitcoin price could peak in summer

Bitcoin remained in a price consolidation range for four weeks following a sharp rise in 2024, reaching a new all-time high of $108,268 on December 17, according to data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView.

The price has since fallen 14% from this record level, but BTC still has room to rise further, as evidenced by its 52-week simple moving average (SMA), according to popular Bitcoin trader and analyst Dave the Wave. There are more.

Over the past few weeks, several studies and data have provided varying predictions, but Bitcoin has stuck to levels previously described by the logarithmic growth curve (LGC). LGC saw BTC price hit a new high after its 52-week SMA touched the mid-band of the channel.

Dave the Wave wrote in a January 13 post on

“Here we suggest a #BTC peak mid-year.”

BTC/USD weekly chart. source: dave the wave

However, the chart above shows that price has historically reached peaks for days or months before or after the moving average crosses the midline of the LGC. For example, in 2013, the price peaked on December 13, when the 52-week SMA gave the highest signal for BTC.

In 2017, BTC peaked on December 17, but its highest signal came a month later on January 15, 2018, and its 52-week SMA during the 2021 bull cycle when Bitcoin peaked at $69,000 on November 10. A signal was displayed. A few months ago, May 3rd.

Therefore, the 2025 Bitcoin high could fall in the days to months before or after the 1-year SMA crosses the LGC midline, expected in mid-July.

Dave the Wave pointed out that a less steep one-year moving average indicates a “mature market.”

“Final Stage” Bitcoin Price Adjustment

Meanwhile, renowned cryptocurrency analyst Rekt Capital said the continued consolidation in Bitcoin price is part of the “first price discovery correction” that occurs between weeks 6 and 8 of the parabolic phase. These corrections last for 2 to 4 weeks.

“The retracing has now been ongoing for four weeks,” Rekt Capital added in a January 11 analysis of X.

“So in terms of length, history suggests that these modifications should be in the final stages.”

Fellow analyst Axel Adler Jr. said the current Bitcoin decline is less severe than the previous consolidation phase, when BTC fell more than 26% between July 29 and August 5, 2024.

source: Axel Adler Jr.

Analysts say relatively modest corrections like this at the beginning of the year are common after the halving.

relevant: Bitcoin traders share a ‘PvP’ view of BTC’s recent price weakness.

Meanwhile, veteran trader Peter Brandt shared a chart showing that BTC has formed a head and shoulders (H&S) pattern on the daily chart with potentially three possible outcomes.

In the first results, Brandt claimed that BTC could confirm the pattern, complete the trend, and reach the H&S formation target of below $77,000.

The other two outcomes include one where the price completes the pattern but fails to reach the target, resulting in a bear trap or “transformation into a larger pattern.”

BTC/USD daily chart: possible H&S pattern. source: peter brandt

Additionally, fellow analyst Bitcoin Munger noticed a large increasing bid between $85,000 and $92,000 on Binance and wondered whether Bitcoin price would fall to fill it or rise to fill the $110,000 ask order. I did it.

“I think you’ll get $110,000 either way, so be prepared for both scenarios.”

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. All investment and trading activities involve risk and readers should conduct their own research when making any decisions.