Nvidia faces ‘almost zero’ chances of beating Bitcoin this decade.
Tech company NVIDIA’s (NVDA) outperformance of Bitcoin (BTC) over the past decade should not be used as an indicator for the next decade, according to cryptocurrency executives. Because this will never happen again.
“It is highly unlikely that Nvidia will surpass Bitcoin in the next 10 years,” Swan Bitcoin CEO Cory Klippsten argued in a May 24 X post.
“Personally, I would pick Bitcoin over Nvidia over the next 10 years,” investment strategist Lyn Alden said at
From May 23, 2014 to May 23, 2024, Nvidia (NVDA), which produces chips that companies use to train and deploy artificial intelligence (AI) models, returned 21,558% and Bitcoin returned 13,048%.
Over the past three months since the spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) was approved on January 10, Bitcoin has returned slightly better returns than Nvidia, with returns of 31.7% and 30.2%, respectively.
Meanwhile, trading resource The Kobeissi Letter pointed out in a May 24 post that a $10,000 investment in Nvidia stock in 1999 “is now worth $25.3 million.”
Daniel Sempere Pico questioned whether Nvidia might have been considered a much “riskier” investment in 2014, when neither Bitcoin nor AI had been widely adopted.
Related: Nvidia has doubled down on its AI future as its stock market capitalization surpasses $2.5 trillion.
“I don’t know if AI as a whole could have been predicted in 2014, but there were already people who could see the potential of Bitcoin,” Pico explained.
“If you went back to 2014, I wonder which one you would have thought was riskier and less obvious to achieve these incredible returns,” he added.
However, the co-founder of 21st.capital, who goes by the name “Sina” in X, argued that financial assets in general have a broader domino effect than AI as more people start using them.
“There are no network effects in AI. “Money has multiple layers of network effects,” he argued in a May 24 post.
While there are optimistic predictions about Bitcoin’s performance over the next 24 months, there are also warnings of a significant correction.
On March 4, Cointelegraph reported that former physics professor Giovanni Santostasi used his “power law” model to predict that Bitcoin would reach a peak of $210,000 in January 2026 and then fall below $60,000. It was reported that it was predicted that the dollar could fall.
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