Stocks News

The Fed’s merchant betting company will rescue the economy at least four times this year.

Traders work in New York City at the New York Stock Exchange on April 3, 2025.

Michael M. Santiago | Getty image

Concerned that President Donald Trump’s tariffs will be able to move the United States to the economic downturn, merchants now say that the Federal Reserve Bank will cut at least four interest rates this year.

According to CME Group’s data on Friday morning, the probability of reducing the 5th quarter point this year increased from 18.3%to 37.9%a day. As a result, the Federal Fund has fallen from 3.00%to 3.25%from 4.25%to 4.50%since December.

The market also sets the price of about 32%, with the federal funds from 3.25%to 3.50%, which means reducing one -quarter points in the Fed.

At the same time, the possibility of semi -center point trim in June also increased from 15.9%to 43.8%before.

Trump’s tariffs are likely to rise after the fear of the World Trade War and economic scholars for growth and inflation, and then the Federal Reserve Bank will actively rise. Investors expect that the slowdown in economic growth will be able to accelerate the Fed to lower the Fed in bidding to avoid the economic downturn.

However, the central bank is concerned that many people are having a difficult way for the Fed because they will have to reduce interest rates in an environment where inflation still has a 2% target. If it is implemented, the tariff is expected to induce core inflation to 3% north of 5%, depending on some predictions.

On Friday, Roger W. Ferguson, an economist and former vice -president of the Fed, told CNBC that the Central Bank would not be cut this year at all, the Fed should worry about the inflation of the mission.

-CNBC’s Jeff Cox contributed to this report.

Receive the PRO LIVE ticket

With us on the New York Stock Exchange! |

Uncertain market? Get the superiority CNBC Pro LiveExclusive inauguration at the historic New York Stock Exchange. In today’s dynamic financial environment, approaches to experts’ insights are the most important. As a CNBC PRO subscriber We invite you We are with us The first exclusive CNBC Pro Live event held on Thursday, June 12 at NYSE.

Sign up for an interactive professional clinic led by an expert Carter Worth and Niles, and Dan Ives, With a special edition with Pro Talks Tom Lee. You can also create a network with CNBC professionals, talented and other professional subscribers during the interesting cocktail time in the legendary trading floor. Tickets are limited!

Do not miss this insight of CNBC Pro

Related Articles

Back to top button