VanEck predicts Bitcoin $180,000 by Q1 2025 in a double peak bull market.
VanEck predicted that there will be significant developments in the cryptocurrency industry in 2025, ranging from a double peak bull market to the U.S. adoption of Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset.
The company’s 2025 forecast envisions a milestone that could redefine the role of digital assets in global finance, driven by regulatory clarity and institutional momentum.
Bull Market Peak and Strategic U.S. Adoption
VanEck predicts a double-peak bull market, with Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) hitting all-time highs in the first quarter before consolidating throughout the year. Additionally, the fourth quarter recovery is expected to push both assets past their previous peaks.
The company expects Bitcoin to reach $180,000, Ethereum to $6,000, and projects such as Solana (SOL) and Sui to $500 and $10, respectively. The report also predicts a dramatic shift in U.S. policy toward cryptocurrencies.
Under the Trump administration, cryptocurrency-friendly leaders are ready to integrate Bitcoin into strategic reserves at the federal and state levels. States like Texas and Florida can set up their Bitcoin reserves independently, while a federal plan could tap into the Treasury’s Foreign Exchange Stabilization Fund.
Regulatory clarity is expected to attract global developers, increasing the share of cryptocurrency talent in the U.S. from 19% to 25%. The company also predicted that the U.S. share of the global Bitcoin mining hash rate would rise to 35% due to regulatory clarity and cheap energy.
VanEck expects the company’s Bitcoin holdings to increase by 43%, taking the publicly traded company to over 1.1 million BTC, surpassing Bitcoin creator Satoshi Nakamoto’s estimated holdings. The company believes this trend will solidify America’s leadership in the global Bitcoin economy.
DeFi, tokenized securities and NFT revival
DeFi is poised for record-breaking growth, with DEX trading volume reaching $4 trillion and total value rebounding to $200 billion.
Ethereum’s role as a payments layer will strengthen as blob space fees will generate $1 billion by the end of the year, driven by high-value applications such as layer 2 rollups and tokenized securities.
The value of tokenized securities, an emerging asset class, is expected to exceed $50 billion as blockchain technology simplifies equity and debt issuance. VanEck predicted that platforms like Coinbase may set a new standard for on-chain financial products by tokenizing their own shares.
The NFT market, which has seen a significant decline in recent years, is expected to recover to $30 billion in trading volume. VanEck attributes this resurgence to the growing cultural significance of existing collections like CryptoPunks and Bored Ape Yacht Club, as well as innovative projects like Pudgy Penguins turning into consumer brands.
VanEck’s forecast envisions a year of change where regulatory progress, technological innovation, and institutional adoption will converge to shape the future of digital assets. The company’s insights highlight the accelerating integration of cryptocurrencies into global finance and culture, with 2025 being a pivotal year for the industry.
