While growth proceeds fast and furiously, the engine of the economic modern family sits idle | Mish’s Market Hours
Let’s get started right away. The charts and tools speak for themselves.
To start, always look at moving averages and steps. We then look at Real Motion and Momentum to see if there is a difference in price. Then, compare it to benchmarks to see leadership metrics that tell you how your equipment is performing. Look at weekly, monthly charts, as well as daily charts. And now that it’s relevant, we also look at calendar ranges. (See the video we recently made for StockCharts.)
Naturally there are a few other considerations, but we can proceed with this for now.
Russell 2000 or Granddad IWM
Daily moving averages are bullish. The momentum indicator shows that there is no difference because momo is at the moving average, as is price. Leadership is weak and performance is well below benchmarks. Sustainable?
The weekly chart shows the price against key support between 183-188. The monthly chart shows a two-year business cycle extension (above the 23-month MA) with resistance at the December 2023 high. The calendar range shows prices at the January lows or the all-important 190.
So, it’s either a very low-risk purchase or a fair warning, especially if you consider the following:
Take a look at IWM’s efforts to keep up with growth.
This is the daily chart of Granny Retail XRT. The similarities between XRT and IWM are clear.
Daily moving averages are bullish. Real Motion shows that there is no difference as momentum, like price, is located at the moving average. Leadership is weak and performance is well below benchmarks.
The weekly chart shows the price against key support levels between 64-68. On the monthly chart, the price is above the 23-month MA for the first time since 2021, but still far from the December 2023 high. The calendar range shows the price at the January low or the all-important 68.00.
Both Gramps and Granny are important components to markets and the economy. Both reflect legitimate hesitation about predicting the Fed’s next interest rate move. Although both are underperforming growth stocks, they still have great support.
I hope this gives you some guidance for this week. It definitely helps me because I keep a close eye on it. all clear Now, QQQ and semiconductors in the entire market have developed fast and furiously.
When it comes to Sister Semiconductors, she’s as much a part of the family as biotech, community banking, transportation and Bitcoin. They all have a similar pattern to the Gramps IWM and Granny
This is for educational purposes only. Trading involves risk.
If you are having trouble implementing the MarketGauge strategy or would like to see how we can help you do it, please email Ben Scheibe. Benny@MGAMLC.com, Head of Institutional Sales. Cell phone: 612-518-2482.
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weekly: Business-first AM, CMC market
- S&P 500 (Spy): It hit a new all-time high, making 480 the new 460.
- Russell 2000 (IWM): Resistance 195, support 188~190.
- Dow (HE): Here too, a new all-time high was reached. 375 is now supported.
- NASDAQ (QQQ): And here we have ATH too. Supports 408-409.
- Local Bank (KRE): I’m over 50 and need to maintain it.
- Semiconductor (SMH): wing; 180 is now supported.
- Transportation (IYT): 254 support with 262 resistance.
- Biotechnology (IBB): 135 is the key.
- Sleeve (XRT): Support held at 65 but still needs to recover above 70.00.
Misch Schneider
MarketGauge.com
Director of Trading Research and Education